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Mesoscale Discussion 1133
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1133
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0757 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST NY INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 231257Z - 231400Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A NEW SEVERE TSTM WATCH IS BEING CONSIDERED FOR SOUTHEAST
   NY INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.  A FAST-MOVING LINE OF STORMS IN
   SOUTHEAST NY AND NORTHEAST PA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN
   EXTENT OF THE HUDSON VALLEY BETWEEN 13-14Z AND THEN TRACK ACROSS SRN
   NEW ENGLAND BETWEEN 14-16Z.

   DISCUSSION...RECENT TRENDS IN MOSAIC RADAR IMAGERY AND MRMS-CAPPI
   SUGGEST STORMS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF A FAST EWD-MOVING LINE OF
   STORMS /CURRENTLY IN DELAWARE COUNTY NY/ WAS BEGINNING TO
   RE-INTENSIFY AGAIN.  SURFACE HEATING OF A MOIST DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS
   COUPLED WITH STRONG WIND FIELDS SUGGEST STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE A
   PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT THROUGH THE MORNING.

   ..PETERS/MEAD.. 06/23/2015


   ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...

   LAT...LON   42417448 42637288 42587156 42327133 41647169 41357217
               41057360 41107422 41027473 41457469 42417448 

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Page last modified: June 23, 2015
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