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Mesoscale Discussion 1137
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1137
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1134 AM CDT TUE JUN 24 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN TX

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 241634Z - 241830Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL
   BE POSSIBLE OVER NWRN TX IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SMALL SEWD-MOVING
   CLUSTER OF STORMS.

   DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF STORMS WITH MCV ALONG A LBB TO CDS LINE
   CONTINUES TO PROPAGATE SEWD INTO NWRN TX. AHEAD OF THESE
   STORMS...AREAS OF HEATING PERSIST WITH TEMPERATURES SLOWLY RISING
   INTO THE 80S F. RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT ALONG WITH MID TO
   UPPER 60S F DEWPOINTS IS RESULTING IN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR
   MASS. ALSO POTENTIALLY AIDING THESE STORMS IS A ZONE OF WEAK SURFACE
   CONVERGENCE DUE TO MODIFIED SLY OUTFLOW EMANATING FROM STORMS
   FARTHER S. A FEW CELLS APPEAR TO BE FORMING ON THIS NWD MOVING
   BOUNDARY AHEAD OF THE STRONGER CLUSTER.

   THEREFORE...DESPITE WEAK WIND PROFILES...THIS CLUSTER MIGHT PERSIST
   FOR SOME TIME BY VIRTUE OF STRONG INSTABILITY AND PROPAGATION WITH A
   LOW-END SEVERE THREAT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

   ..JEWELL/MEAD.. 06/24/2014


   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

   LAT...LON   33440150 33870097 34160066 34500036 34399998 34169936
               33889867 33509797 33009766 32499783 31809820 31479922
               32190015 32880101 33440150 

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Page last modified: June 24, 2014
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