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Mesoscale Discussion 1145
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1145
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0641 PM CDT TUE JUN 23 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...DC...DE...MD...NJ...PA...VA...WV

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 346...

   VALID 232341Z - 240115Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 346
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS WILL SPREAD SOUTHEAST
   ACROSS NORTHERN DELMARVA REGION THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS OF 50-60KT
   WILL BE PSBL WITH THESE STORMS.

   DISCUSSION...WHILE A MORE INTENSE BOW ECHO SPREAD RAPIDLY EAST OVER
   THE SOUTH JERSEY SHORE...A NEARLY SOLID BAND OF FLANKING STORMS
   CONTINUES TO SPREAD SOUTHEAST INTO A STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS
   ACROSS NRN DELMARVA REGION THIS EVENING. UNLIKE THE DECAYING BOW
   EAST OF NJ...THIS BAND OF STORMS WAS MORE ALIGNED WITH DEEP-LAYER
   WESTERLY FLOW EVIDENT IN KDOX VWP. NONETHELESS...SUFFICIENT SHEAR
   EXISTS TO AID/MAINTAIN UPDRAFT PERSISTENCE WITH A FEW STRONGER
   EMBEDDED CORES POSING THE GREATEST CHANCE OF SEVERE DOWNBURST WINDS.
   A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT WHERE THESE STRONGER
   CORES INTERSECT FINE LINES AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AMIDST THE
   STRONGLY UNSTABLE AND WEAKLY CAPPED AIRMASS RESIDING OVER THE
   REGION.

   ..CARBIN/DARROW.. 06/23/2015


   ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...BGM...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...
   RLX...

   LAT...LON   36978048 36978054 37228123 37298131 37348136 37458130
               38098087 39727893 41227554 41367469 41207437 40257363
               39707376 39597380 39507386 37887494 37047551 36978048
               36978048 

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Page last modified: June 24, 2015
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