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Mesoscale Discussion 1154
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1154
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0114 PM CDT WED JUN 24 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...NRN INTO CNTRL GA

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 241814Z - 242015Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...NUMEROUS STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM OVER THE NEXT FEW
   HOURS WITH AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE MICROBURSTS.

   DISCUSSION...RADAR AND SATELLITE SHOW RAPIDLY FORMING TCU AND STORMS
   OVER THE BULK OF NRN GA AND SURROUNDING AREAS. MODIFIED MORNING
   SOUNDINGS INDICATE STRONG INSTABILITY IS IN PLACE WITH IMPRESSIVE
   LAPSE RATES ALOFT FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. MLCAPE VALUES ARE
   APPROACHING 4000 J/KG CURRENTLY.

   IN ADDITION TO CURRENT RADAR TRENDS...CONVECTIVE ALLOWING MODELS
   ALSO ARE IN STRONG AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO OF NUMEROUS STRONG
   STORMS OVER GA. WITH CONTINUED HEATING...WET MICROBURSTS WILL BE
   POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST CORES. STORMS MAY TEND TO PROPAGATE
   SLOWLY SWWD WITH TIME...PERHAPS MAKING IT INTO FAR ERN AL LATER THIS
   AFTERNOON. WHILE HAIL IS NOT A PRIMARY THREAT...SMALL HAIL IS LIKELY
   TO MAKE IT TO THE GROUND IN SOME CASES.

   ..JEWELL/GUYER.. 06/24/2015


   ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...BMX...

   LAT...LON   34138542 34938447 35058393 35008318 34918290 34658270
               34278272 33788252 33468213 33138196 32438310 31968464
               32188503 32568542 33628581 34138542 

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Page last modified: June 24, 2015
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