MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1155
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0602 AM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN MO
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 431...
   
   VALID 161102Z - 161300Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 431
   CONTINUES.
   
   YET ANOTHER STRONG/SEVERE MCS SPREADING ACROSS THE OZARKS EARLY
   TODAY FUELED BY ABUNDANT MASS INFLOW/INSTABILITY ON THE EDGE OF THE
   CAP AND LARGE SCALE SUPPORT IN THE FORM OF A LOW AMPLITUDE SHORT
   WAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED 50-60KT MID LEVEL JET STREAK. DESPITE
   MOVING QUICKLY EAST/SOUTHEAST IN THE WAKE OF PREVIOUS MCS THAT IS
   NOW DECAYING ACROSS THE LOWER OH VALLEY...THIS MOST RECENT COMPLEX
   HAS DEVELOPED A LARGE COLD POOL WITH VIGOROUS DEEP CONVECTION
   EXTENDING WWD INTO SERN KS AND NERN OK. CURRENT CONFIGURATION TO THE
   LEADING CONVECTION ON RADAR...AND LATEST TRACK...SHOULD BRING
   DAMAGING WINDS INTO THE ERN/SERN SECTIONS OF WATCH 431 IN THE NEXT
   1-2 HOURS. IF STORM ORGANIZATION AND INTENSITY IS MAINTAINED... A
   NEW WATCH MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MO IN A COUPLE
   OF HOURS.
   
   ..CARBIN.. 06/16/2009
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...EAX...
   
   LAT...LON   38099454 38029405 38219402 38189355 38519339 38709282
               38419242 38259157 37059109 36849121 36889171 37059169
               37059290 37099360 36929363 36929404 37049403 37039458
               38099454