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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1164
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0539 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SE SD
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 434...435...
VALID 162239Z - 170015Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 434...435...CONTINUES.
THE NEED FOR ADDITIONAL WWS THIS EVENING IS NOT CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED...BUT THE RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES WILL PERSIST
IN STORMS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA ANOTHER FEW HOURS.
MODEST VEERING WIND PROFILES WITH HEIGHT IN THE LOWER/MID
TROPOSPHERE...BENEATH GENERALLY LIGHT WESTERLY MID/UPPER
FLOW...SHOULD MAINTAIN STRONGEST CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE
IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE SURFACE LOW/TROUGH ACROSS EASTERN SOUTH
DAKOTA. SEVERE THREAT IS BECOMING CONFINED TO THE MITCHELL
VICINITY...WHERE POTENTIAL INSTABILITY REMAINS STRONG BENEATH
RELATIVELY COLD MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES. THIS WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE
AND SHIFT SOUTH/EAST OF MITCHELL THROUGH THE 01-02Z TIME FRAME...BUT
AS UPPER RIDGING BUILDS NORTHWARD THROUGH THE NORTH CENTRAL
PLAINS...DEVELOPMENT SOUTHWARD INTO NEBRASKA AND IOWA IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.
..KERR.. 06/16/2009
ATTN...WFO...FGF...FSD...ABR...BIS...
LAT...LON 46860227 46889891 44669652 44609725 43069692 43049909
44569947 44619970 46860227
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