MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1165
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0702 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...FAR ERN TN...SWRN VA...WRN NC
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 433...436...
   
   VALID 170002Z - 170100Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
   433...436...CONTINUES.
   
   DAMAGING WIND THREAT CONTINUES WITH LONG-LIVED QLCS THAT HAS REACHED
   A DICKENSON COUNTY VA TO WASHINGTON COUNTY TN LINE AS OF 2355Z.
   OVERALL POTENTIAL APPEARS TO HAVE DIMINISHED IN AREAL EXTENT
   COMPARED TO EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON...AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO DO SO
   THROUGH MID-EVENING. ABUNDANT CLOUD COVERAGE HAS LIMITED DOWNSTREAM
   DESTABILIZATION ACROSS SWRN VA INTO WRN NC. IN ADDITION...THE QLCS
   APPEARS TO HAVE OUTRUN STRONGER LOW/MID-LEVEL WLYS THAT PERSIST
   FARTHER WEST /PER AREA VAD PROFILERS/. THUS...HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR
   DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
   TN/VA BORDER MAINLY WITHIN WW 436...GIVEN EMBEDDED BOWING STRUCTURES
   AND RECENT STORM MOTION OF 35-40 KTS.
   
   FARTHER W...STABILIZING EFFECTS OF EARLIER CONVECTION HAS LIKELY
   RENDERED LITTLE /IF ANY/ ADDITIONAL SEVERE THREAT WITHIN WW 433.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 06/17/2009
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...
   
   LAT...LON   37248071 37028044 36638041 36278060 36018089 35798126
               35778201 35868252 36188285 36978247 37308242 37458153
               37248071