MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1168
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1048 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2009
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SRN KS...NRN MO INTO THE MISSOURI OZARKS
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 438...
   
   VALID 170348Z - 170515Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 438
   CONTINUES.
   
   QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY LAYER BASED SUPERCELL...IN APPARENT AREA
   OF FOCUSED CONVERGENCE ALONG A REMNANT SURFACE BOUNDARY...APPEARS TO
   BE WEAKENING IN THE FACE OF BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING...AND A TENDENCY
   TOWARD WARMING TEMPERATURES ALOFT.  WITH INHIBITION GRADUALLY
   STRENGTHENING...IT IS NOT ENTIRELY CLEAR THAT SUBSTANTIAL NEW STORM
   DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR...EVEN WITHIN A BELT OF ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL
   WARM ADVECTION EXTENDING EAST NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE MISSOURI
   OZARKS.  BUT...GIVEN POTENTIAL INSTABILITY PRESENT ACROSS THE
   REGION...TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF POSSIBLE
   NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ON NORTHERN FRINGE OF STRONGER CAPPING
   ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS.
   
   ..KERR.. 06/17/2009
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...
   
   LAT...LON   37199730 37689728 38059608 38369492 38529340 38389208
               37859145 37239166 36679254 36559409 36579572 36689687
               37199730