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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1174
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0247 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...N CNTRL/NERN KS...S CNTRL/SWRN NEB...SWRN IA...NWRN
MO
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 440...
VALID 171947Z - 172015Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 440 CONTINUES.
THREAT OF TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL...AND DMGG WINDS CONTINUE FOR
WW440. STORMS WILL APPROACH THE ERN EDGE OF THE WATCH WITHIN THE
NEXT HOUR...AND AN ADDITIONAL WW DOWNSTREAM WILL BE LIKELY.
INITIALLY ELEVATED SUPERCELLS HAVE BECOME ROOTED AT THE
SURFACE...INDICATED BY A RAPID INCREASE IN ROTATION WITH CURRENT
SUPERCELLS...HARD RIGHT TURNING MOTION...AND SEVERAL UNCONFIRMED
REPORTS OF TORNADOES ON THE GROUND WITH THE MARSHALL/GAGE COUNTY
STORM. VERY FAVORABLE HOT/MOIST INFLOW WILL MAINTAIN THESE
SUPERCELLS...WITH STRONGLY VEERING WINDS AND ENHANCED BUOYANCY NEAR
THE WARM FRONT ALLOWING ROTATION TO PERSIST. DUE TO STRONG
ROTATION...STORMS HAVE TAKEN A TURN TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST...AND WILL
QUICKLY REACH THE ERN EXTENT OF THE WATCH WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR. AN
ADDITIONAL WW WILL BE ISSUED DOWNSTREAM.
FARTHER W...18Z SOUNDINGS REFLECT VERY LITTLE TO NO CINH
REMAINS...AND INITIATION STILL REMAINS LIKELY OVER THE AREA
PRIMARILY NEAR A LIFTING WARM FRONT THAT IS NOW IN SRN NEB. SIMILAR
TO DOWNSTREAM STORMS...ENVIRONMENT REMAINS VERY FAVORABLE FOR LARGE
SUPERCELLS. AN ADDITIONAL WATCH WILL BE ISSUED OVER E CNTRL/NERN
CO...SRN NEB...AND NWRN KS. SEE MD 1173 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.
..HURLBUT.. 06/17/2009
ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...GID...LBF...GLD...
LAT...LON 39819408 39519979 41379986 41629406 39819408
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