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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1176
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0313 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...TX PANHANDLE/S PLAINS/SOUTHWEST TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 172013Z - 172115Z
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF DMGG WINDS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE THIS
AFTERNOON. AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO INCREASE ALONG A DRYLINE EXTENDING
THROUGH THE TX PANHANDLE...THEN SWWD INTO ERN NM AND FAR WRN TX. A
WEAK VORT MAX ORIGINATING OVER NRN MEXICO THAT TRAVERSED AROUND THE
WRN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE APPEARS TO BE PROVIDING
FAVORABLE ASCENT/LIFT WHILE ANOTHER VORT MAX IS APPROACHING FAR WRN
TX. UPPER ASCENT/LIFT IN COMBINATION WITH CONVERGENCE ALONG THE
DRYLINE AND MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT RENEWED DEVELOPMENT.
MID LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS FAVORABLE...WHILE DRY LOW
LEVELS/INVERTED-V PROFILES WILL LEAD TO A PRIMARY THREAT OF DMGG
WINDS AS EVAPORATIONAL COOLING ENHANCES DOWNDRAFTS.
..HURLBUT.. 06/17/2009
ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...
LAT...LON 36130100 35020130 34490141 29630327 29400427 30800430
32780364 35510274 36310223 36130100
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