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Mesoscale Discussion 1181
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1181
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0930 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...KS...NE

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 361...

   VALID 280230Z - 280330Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 361 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...ALTHOUGH STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WITH HAIL AND
   WIND MAY PERSIST ACROSS PARTS OF WRN KS...THE TORNADO THREAT
   CONTINUES TO DIMINISH ACROSS WATCH 361 FOR WRN KS AND A SMALL
   PORTION OF SWRN NEB. THE REMAINDER OF THE WATCH AREA WILL BE ALLOWED
   TO EXPIRE AT THE TOP OF THE HOUR.

   DISCUSSION...INTENSE STORMS PERSIST ALONG AND IMMEDIATELY BEHIND
   COLD-POOL OUTFLOW EXTENDING FROM NORTH OF DDC NEWD TO THE NEB
   BORDER. NEW UPDRAFTS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED AMIDST THE HOT AND
   UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS SWRN KS. GIVEN ABUNDANT INSTABILITY AND
   CONTINUING BACKGROUND FORCING FOR ASCENT...IN ADDITION TO AN
   INCREASE IN MASS AND MOISTURE FLUX ON STRENGTHENING NOCTURNAL
   LOW-LEVEL JET...EXPECT DEEP CONVECTION TO PERSIST DESPITE RELATIVELY
   HIGH INHIBITION AND WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT. WHILE TORNADO POTENTIAL
   APPEARS TO BE ON THE WANE...THE CHANCE FOR ISOLATED STRONG
   DOWNDRAFTS...HAIL...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL PERSIST WITH STORMS
   REGENERATING ALONG THE SWRN FLANK OF DEEPER COLD POOL ACROSS WRN KS
   LATE THIS EVENING. OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL DOES NOT APPEAR TO
   WARRANT AN ADDITIONAL WATCH AT THIS TIME.

   ..CARBIN/MEAD.. 06/28/2014


   ATTN...WFO...GID...DDC...GLD...PUB...

   LAT...LON   38580210 39440143 40320056 40259957 38449962 37129962
               37060014 37060128 37090200 38580210 

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Page last modified: June 28, 2014
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