Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 1183
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 1183 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1183
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0906 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN MO...NERN KS...FAR SERN NEB

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 355...

   VALID 260206Z - 260330Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 355
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...ALTHOUGH SEVERE RISK HAS EFFECTIVELY WANED ACROSS WW
   355...MONITORING FOR UPSTREAM ELEVATED TSTM DEVELOPMENT EVOLVING
   FROM NERN KS/FAR SERN NEB AND POSSIBLE ADDITIONAL WW ISSUANCE. THERE
   IS UNCERTAINTY OVER THE DEGREE OF SEVERITY WITH THIS NEXT
   ROUND...WHICH MAY ONLY HAVE AN ISOLATED/MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL/WIND
   RISK.

   DISCUSSION...INITIAL CLUSTER OF SEVERE STORMS WITHIN WW 355 HAS
   PROGRESSED TOWARDS THE MS RIVER WITHIN WW 354. RECENT ESRL/NCEP
   HRRR/S REMAIN INSISTENT ON REDEVELOPING CONVECTION NEAR/W OF THE MO
   RIVER WITHIN A ZONE OF MODEST ISENTROPIC ASCENT N OF THE
   CONVECTIVELY-MODIFIED QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT S OF THE I-70 CORRIDOR
   ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL KS TO CNTRL MO. FINAL VISIBLE IMAGERY
   INDICATED INITIAL CB DEVELOPMENT INVOF CNK AND IT APPEARS PLAUSIBLE
   THAT THIS MAY BLOSSOM E/NE NEAR THE NEB/KS BORDER GIVEN THE LARGE
   POTENTIAL BUOYANCY SAMPLED IN 00Z TOP RAOB. ON THE PERIPHERY OF
   MODERATE EFFECTIVE SHEAR...STORMS WILL HAVE A RISK FOR SEVERE HAIL
   INITIALLY THAT MAY EVENTUALLY EVOLVE INTO A BROADER CLUSTER WITH A
   PREDOMINANT WIND RISK.

   ..GRAMS/GUYER.. 06/26/2015


   ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...OAX...TOP...GID...

   LAT...LON   39379242 38859226 38459259 38449323 39019525 39139729
               39309769 39519782 39939782 40309703 40369651 40339585
               40139496 39509298 39379242 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 26, 2015
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities