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Mesoscale Discussion 1184
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1184
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0911 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL INTO SOUTHEAST VA

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 353...

   VALID 260211Z - 260315Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 353
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE FROM
   NEAR RICHMOND TO PETERSBURG VA...SOUTHEAST TOWARD WAKEFIELD.

   DISCUSSION...THE LEAD SUPERCELL IN A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX NOW
   LOCATED OVER CHESTERFIELD COUNTY IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE PRODUCING
   DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AS IT TRACKS
   SOUTH/SOUTHEAST. WEAK PRESSURE FALLS ACROSS THE REGION HAVE RESULTED
   IN BACKING LOW LEVEL FLOW AND AN INCREASING LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPH FROM
   AKQ VWP WHICH SHOWS NEARLY 200 M2/S2 SRH. THIS COULD AID IN TORNADO
   DEVELOPMENT IN THE LEAD SUPERCELL...IN ADDITION TO THE DAMAGING WIND
   THREAT OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.  AS THE STORMS APPROACH AKQ/FAR
   SOUTHEASTERN VA SOME WEAKENING WILL BE POSSIBLE AS BOUNDARY LAYER
   STABILIZATION WILL BE GREATER DUE IN PART TO EARLIER CONVECTION
   ACROSS THAT AREA.

   ..LEITMAN.. 06/26/2015


   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RNK...

   LAT...LON   37877741 37437693 37167680 36797680 36547709 36567791
               36797830 37147853 37597871 37867855 37937829 37877741 

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Page last modified: June 26, 2015
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