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Mesoscale Discussion 1191
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1191
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0608 PM CDT SAT JUN 28 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN AR THROUGH WRN AND CNTRL MO

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 366...

   VALID 282308Z - 290045Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 366
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THREAT FOR STRONG TO ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL
   PERSIST INTO CNTRL MO NEXT COUPLE HOURS. STORMS ARE NOW EXITING SRN
   PORTION OF WW ACROSS SWRN MO AND WILL EXIT REMAINING PARTS BY 00Z.
   OVERALL THREAT APPEARS MARGINAL...AND ANOTHER SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
   WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

   DISCUSSION...LINE OF STORMS FROM NRN MO SWD INTO SWRN MO IS MOVING
   EAST AT 25-30 KT. THE ACTIVITY IS EMBEDDED WITHIN MODERATE 30-40 KT
   DEEP LAYER WINDS WITHIN BASE OF THE UPPER TROUGH BUT WEAK VERTICAL
   SHEAR...AND STORMS HAVE ONLY BEEN MARGINALLY SEVERE AT BEST.
   SOMEWHAT WEAKER FLOW EXISTS DOWNSTREAM FROM ONGOING STORMS...AND THE
   ATMOSPHERE IS ONLY MODESTLY UNSTABLE WITH WEAK LAPSE RATES AND
   AROUND 1500 J/KG MLCAPE. ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING WILL FURTHER
   CONTRIBUTE TO A MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT SUGGESTING
   FURTHER INTENSIFICATION OR ORGANIZATION IS UNLIKELY.

   ..DIAL.. 06/28/2014


   ATTN...WFO...LSX...LZK...SGF...EAX...

   LAT...LON   37239313 37919316 38629302 39269285 40049298 40149228
               38589173 36759201 36149256 36219297 36739296 37239313 

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Page last modified: June 29, 2014
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