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Mesoscale Discussion 1191
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1191
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0146 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL/SERN
   KS...WEST-CENTRAL/SWRN MO

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 260646Z - 260745Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR A FEW
   HOURS SOUTH OF LOCALLY-EXTENDED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 357. A NEW
   WATCH IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO 08Z.

   DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE ORGANIZED INTO TWO PRONOUNCED BOWING
   SEGMENTS AS OF 0645Z...ONE MOVING THROUGH THE KANSAS CITY METRO AREA
   AND ANOTHER WEST/SOUTHWEST OF LAWRENCE KS.  IN THE SHORT
   TERM...THESE BOWING SEGMENTS MAY MERGE AND CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEAST
   ALONG A REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM EAST-CENTRAL KS INTO
   SWRN MO. WITH A MODEST WSWLY LOW-LEVEL JET REMAINING IN PLACE AND
   MODERATE BUOYANCY ALONG/SOUTH OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...AN ORGANIZED
   MCS MAY CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE PRE-DAWN HOURS WITH A
   CONTINUED RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS. GIVEN THESE ANTICIPATED
   TRENDS...A NEW WW SOUTH OF LOCALLY-EXTENDED WW 357 IS POSSIBLE BY
   08Z.

   ..BUNTING/EDWARDS.. 06/26/2015


   ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

   LAT...LON   38469580 39109514 39159432 38979374 38799319 38649303
               38519276 38169234 37769236 37269255 37169294 37099374
               37209470 37409529 38129567 38469580 

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Page last modified: June 26, 2015
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