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Mesoscale Discussion 1196
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1196
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0229 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF CNTRL AND ERN NC

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 261929Z - 262130Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL AND WIND ARE LIKELY TO
   DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS MAINLY OVER NC.

   DISCUSSION...A STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS HAS DEVELOPED OVER NC NEAR
   A WEAK LOW-PRESSURE TROUGH. WEAK STORMS AND TCU ARE RAPIDLY
   DEVELOPING OVER CNTRL NC...AND SHOULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE OVER
   THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. WEAK LOW-LEVEL NELY WINDS BENEATH MODEST WLY
   FLOW ALOFT IS RESULTING SUFFICIENTLY LONG HODOGRAPHS TO SUPPORT
   LONG-LIVED CELLULAR ACTIVITY...IN ADDITION TO A FEW SMALL BOWING
   SEGMENTS WITH TIME. THEREFORE...HAIL AND WIND BOTH APPEAR
   POSSIBLE...AND A WATCH IS BEING CONSIDERED.

   ..JEWELL/HART.. 06/26/2015


   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...GSP...

   LAT...LON   34117858 34978041 35348124 35708171 35978168 36318111
               36528056 36427826 36367674 35877539 35197538 34577635
               34117858 

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Page last modified: June 26, 2015
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