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Mesoscale Discussion 1202
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1202
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0628 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST OK INTO EAST-CENTRAL AR

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 362...

   VALID 262328Z - 270100Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 362
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORMS
   IN AND NEAR THE WATCH AREA. A DOWNSTREAM WATCH INTO PARTS OF
   NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MS IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...BUT TRENDS
   WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

   DISCUSSION...STRONG TO LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
   THE MAIN THREAT WITH A CLUSTER OF STORMS OVER CENTRAL AR THIS
   EVENING. RADAR DATA INDICATES SOME TENDENCY TOWARD BECOMING A BETTER
   ORGANIZED FORWARD PROPAGATING LINE SEGMENT AND THIS WOULD FURTHER
   ENHANCE THE DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL IF A STRONGER COLD POOL
   DEVELOPS. HOWEVER...WITH SOUTH AND EASTWARD EXTENT...EFFECTIVE SHEAR
   WEAKENS AND MAINTAINING ANY SORT OF LINEAR COMPONENT WILL BECOME
   DIFFICULT DOWNSTREAM OF WW 362. AS SUCH...A WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED
   AT THIS TIME ACROSS NORTHERN/CENTRAL MS. 

   FURTHER WEST ACROSS SOUTHEAST OK...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL
   POSSIBLE WITH SEVERAL STORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE SOUTHWARD SAGGING
   COLD FRONT JUST OUTSIDE OF...AND MOVING INTO...THE WATCH AREA. THE
   ENVIRONMENT HERE ALSO WILL MAINLY SUPPORT STRONG WIND POTENTIAL AS
   MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AREA-WIDE ARE GENERALLY TOO POOR FOR LARGE HAIL
   DEVELOPMENT.

   ..LEITMAN.. 06/26/2015


   ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

   LAT...LON   35329576 35419055 34119083 33839138 33789473 33859560
               33969591 35329576 

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Page last modified: June 27, 2015
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