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Mesoscale Discussion 1207
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1207
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1153 PM CDT SUN JUN 29 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AND CNTRL NEB

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 300453Z - 300630Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...STORMS MAY CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND POSE A THREAT FOR
   LARGE HAIL AND EVENTUALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS. TRENDS ARE BEING
   MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.

   DISCUSSION...STORMS HAVE INCREASED OVER SWRN NEB WITHING ZONE OF
   ASCENT ON NOSE OF A STRENGTHENING SLY LLJ. ACTIVITY IS ELEVATED AND
   PROBABLY ROOTED SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 800 AND 700 MB. LATEST OBJECTIVE
   ANALYSIS SHOWS STEEP LAPSE RATES AND 2500+ MUCAPE. SUFFICIENT
   EFFECTIVE SHEAR EXISTS FOR STORMS TO DEVELOP UPDRAFT
   ROTATION...ENHANCING THE THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL. STORMS MAY
   EVENTUALLY EVOLVE INTO CLUSTERS WITH A THREAT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS
   LATER THIS MORNING.

   ..DIAL/THOMPSON.. 06/30/2014


   ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...

   LAT...LON   41549997 41189814 40219792 40060081 40700141 41549997 

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Page last modified: June 30, 2014
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