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Mesoscale Discussion 1208
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1208
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1139 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN WV

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 363...

   VALID 270439Z - 270545Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 363
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...OVERALL SEVERE RISK APPEARS LOW AND REMAINING PORTIONS OF
   WW 363 COULD BE CANCELLED PRIOR TO 06Z SCHEDULED EXPIRATION. AT THE
   VERY LEAST...A NEW WW ISSUANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

   DISCUSSION...LINGERING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER APPEARS UNLIKELY TO
   SUBSTANTIALLY INTENSIFY DESPITE SOME INCREASE IN PROGGED
   LOW/MID-LEVEL W/SWLYS OVERNIGHT...OWING TO PROBABLE MEAGER BUOYANCY
   AND WEAK INSTABILITY AMIDST NOCTURNAL STABILIZATION WITHIN A
   MARGINAL LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT PER AREA 00Z RAOBS. WITH MEASURED
   WIND GUSTS ONLY NEAR 25 KT AT KMKJ/KJFZ/KBLF AS THE CLUSTER
   PROGRESSED THROUGH...IT SEEMS PLAUSIBLE THAT LOCALIZED WIND GUSTS
   WOULD ONLY REACH INTO THE 30-40 KT RANGE AT BEST. THIS SHOULD BE
   LIMITED TO A SMALL PORTION OF SRN WV OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO WHICH
   MIGHT RESULT IN LOCALIZED TREE DAMAGE.

   ..GRAMS.. 06/27/2015


   ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...

   LAT...LON   38098178 38458113 38428051 38238019 37988016 37698032
               37298097 37108129 37178146 37508170 38098178 

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Page last modified: June 27, 2015
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