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Mesoscale Discussion 1213
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1213
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0310 PM CDT Sat Jul 01 2017

   Areas affected...Portions of

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 388...389...

   Valid 012010Z - 012215Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 388, 389

   SUMMARY...The threat for severe weather continues across remaining
   valid portions of Severe Thunderstorm Watch number 388 and 389.  A
   local watch extension across a small portion of southwest Maine may
   be needed in the near term.

   DISCUSSION...Within Severe Thunderstorm Watch 388, severe
   thunderstorms were in progress from the Mohawk Valley region of New
   York east/northeast across central Vermont/New Hampshire as of
   2000Z.  This area is located along a differential heating boundary
   from earlier widespread rain and thunderstorms, and the
   near-storm/downstream environment remains characterized by generally
   weak surface-based buoyancy and 35-40 kts of deep-layer shear. 
   Latest objective analysis and area VWP data also depict effective
   SRH values at or above 200 m/s2 across northern portions of the
   watch area.  This environment will continue to support a severe wind
   risk, and the more discrete storms will be capable of low-level
   rotation and some tornado potential.  Given latest radar trends, a
   local watch extension may be needed into portions of the WFO GYX
   County Warning Area over southwest Maine.

   Within Severe Thunderstorm Watch 389, a mostly linear storm mode had
   been noted, although a cluster of strong storms has recently
   developed west of Allentown PA. Several reports of wind damage and
   near severe gusts have been received within the watch area. With
   moderate surface-based buoyancy and 35-40 kts of deep-layer shear, a
   continued damaging wind threat will accompany the line of storms as
   it moves into eastern portions of the watch area during the
   remainder of this afternoon and into early evening.

   ..Bunting.. 07/01/2017

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   39627572 39157543 38487651 38617771 39327750 40397705
               41327662 41657641 42487600 43087538 43577425 43907322
               44117224 44117120 44027065 43687078 42207178 41737280
               41137430 39627572 

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