Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 1214
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 1214 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1214
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1206 PM CDT MON JUN 30 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...NE/E-CNTRL KS...FAR W-CNTRL MO...FAR SE NEB

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 301706Z - 301800Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A FEW TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NE/E-CNTRL KS AND FAR
   W-CNTRL MO DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. SOME HAIL IS POSSIBLE BUT THE
   OVERALL SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED AND A WW IS NOT
   CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED. SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY INCREASE LATER THIS
   AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH SUBSEQUENT MCDS AND WATCHES POSSIBLE.

   DISCUSSION...A FEW TSTMS...LIKELY BASED BETWEEN 850 AND 750 MB...MAY
   INITIATE DURING THE NEXT HOUR AS A SWD PROGRESSING GRAVITY WAVE
   INTERACTS WITH MODEST LARGE-SCALE LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE
   MOVING THROUGH NW KS/SW NEB. MODIFYING THE 12Z TOP SOUNDING FOR
   CURRENT CONDITIONS REVEALS THE ATMOSPHERE IS LIKELY STILL HOSTILE TO
   SURFACE-BASED CONVECTION. RECENT LIGHTNING ACTIVITY IN WASHINGTON
   COUNTY MOST LIKELY RESULTED FROM MOISTENING OF THE LAYER BETWEEN 850
   AND 750 MB WITH RESULTANT WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY. A VERY MOIST
   ENVIRONMENT REMAINS ACROSS ERN KS AND FAR W-CNTRL MO AND SOME BRIEF
   TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE AS THE GRAVITY WAVE CONTINUES QUICKLY SWD. ANY
   STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP MAY BE ABLE TO PRODUCE HAIL BUT THE OVERALL
   SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW...LIKELY PRECLUDING THE NEED FOR
   A WW. HOWEVER...TRENDS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE MONITORED.

   ..MOSIER/CORFIDI.. 06/30/2014


   ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...

   LAT...LON   38449453 38039563 37719724 38209778 38799780 39289769
               39759744 40199668 40319643 40349609 40299566 40229514
               40059464 39899438 39539417 39089414 38749431 38449453 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 30, 2014
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities