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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1216
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0533 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE SWRN FL PENINSULA / MIDDLE-LOWER KEYS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 463...
VALID 182233Z - 182330Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 463
CONTINUES.
SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY LINGER BEYOND 23Z ACROSS PARTS OF THE SWRN
FL PENINSULA AND PERHAPS THE MIDDLE AND LOWER KEYS. MAIN THREATS
WITH THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE MARGINALLY SEVERE DMGG WIND GUSTS.
RADAR MOSAIC IMAGERY AT 2225Z SHOWS A QUASI-LINEAR CLUSTER OF
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS FROM LAKE OKEECHOBEE WWD TO FMY. THIS STORM
COMPLEX HAS LIKELY BEEN AIDED BY A CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED VORTICITY
MAXIMA NOW CENTERED JUST NW OF THE SPACE COAST...PER RECENT WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY/RUC OBJECTIVE FIELDS MOVING SSWWD ON THE ERN PERIPHERY
OF SRN MS RIVER VALLEY UPPER RIDGE. KPGD SURFACE OBSERVATION AT
2221Z DISPLAYED A PEAK WIND GUST TO 44 KTS WITH KFMY RECENTLY
SHOWING AT PEAK GUST TO 41 KTS AT 2228Z. WITH A VERY MOIST AND
MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS S OF FORWARD PROPAGATING CONVECTIVE
CLUSTER...EXPECT STORMS TO GENERALLY MAINTAIN THEIR INTENSITY AND
POSE MAINLY AN ISOLD DMGG WIND THREAT. AT THE LEAST...A LOCAL
EXTENSION-IN-TIME FOR 1 TO 2 HOURS MAY BE NECESSARY FOR PARTS OF S
FL COUNTIES IN WW 463 /HENDRY-COLLIER/.
..SMITH.. 06/18/2009
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...KEY...TBW...
LAT...LON 24458194 26388257 26968248 27088229 26898199 26748177
26958152 27178123 27208092 26908064 26658055 25768065
25138083 24628106 24448135 24378159 24458194
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