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Mesoscale Discussion 1219
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1219
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0355 PM CDT MON JUN 30 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...PART OF SWRN KS AND OK/NRN TX PANHANDLES

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 302055Z - 302200Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A THREAT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE
   THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE OK AND
   NRN TX PANHANDLE AND INTO SWRN KS.  WW ISSUANCE IS POSSIBLE.

   DISCUSSION...LIGHTNING DATA...COOLING CLOUD TOPS PER GOES-R DATA AND
   REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED STORMS DEVELOPING OVER CIMARRON COUNTY
   OK...WHILE ADDITIONAL STORMS HAD DEVELOPED WWD OVER THE HIGHER
   TERRAIN OF SRN CO AND NM.  THE WRN OK PANHANDLE STORMS ARE LOCATED
   INVOF A SURFACE BOUNDARY WHICH EXTENDED ENEWD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL
   KS...AND WNWWD INTO SERN CO.  THE AIR MASS FROM THE TX/OK PANHANDLES
   INTO SRN KS HAS BECOME STRONGLY UNSTABLE AND DEEPLY MIXED...THOUGH
   BULK SHEAR IS RATHER WEAK ACROSS THIS REGION.  GIVEN THESE
   FACTORS...OUTFLOW-DOMINANT STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING
   WINDS AND HAIL THE PRIMARY THREATS.

   ..PETERS/CORFIDI.. 06/30/2014


   ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   36850281 37870039 37939938 37199890 36469976 35790081
               35300198 35200283 35300302 36220304 36850281 

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Page last modified: June 30, 2014
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