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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1229
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0501 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR EASTERN NEB AND WESTERN/CENTRAL IA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 475...
VALID 191001Z - 191100Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 475
CONTINUES.
SEVERE TSTM WATCH 475 CONTINUES UNTIL 15Z. DAMAGING WIND THREAT WILL
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN/CENTRAL IA
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL A
CONCERN AS WELL.
SMALL MCS CONTINUES TO STEADILY PROGRESS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT
AROUND 40-45 KT ACROSS SOUTHWEST-WEST CENTRAL IA AS OF 0945Z. THIS
CLUSTER HAS A HISTORY OF STRONG/SEVERE WIND GUSTS IN THE OMAHA
VICINITY...WITH MORE RECENT GUSTS TO AROUND 45 KT PER THE AUDUBON IA
MESONET /937Z/. THE ORGANIZED NATURE OF THIS MCS...WITH SUBTLE
PRE-MCS PRESSURE FALLS AND STRONG RISES IN ITS WAKE...ALONG WITH A
RESIDUALLY MOIST/RATHER UNSTABLE AIRMASS DOWNSTREAM...SUGGESTS A
CONTINUED POSSIBILITY OF DAMAGING WINDS INTO CENTRAL
IA...POTENTIALLY INCLUDING THE DES MOINES/AMES VICINITIES WITHIN THE
NEXT 2 HOURS. FARTHER WEST...IN THE WAKE OF THE LEAD BRUNT OF THE
MCS...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN ALONG THE I-80
CORRIDOR OF EASTERN NEB INTO WESTERN IA THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS.
..GUYER.. 06/19/2009
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...
LAT...LON 42079519 42349407 41999254 40699342 40689723 42079519
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