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Mesoscale Discussion 1234
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1234
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1014 PM CDT MON JUN 30 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...NW/W CENTRAL MO TO NE MO AND W CENTRAL IL

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 376...

   VALID 010314Z - 010415Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 376 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND/HAIL RISK WILL PERSIST FOR ANOTHER
   COUPLE HOURS...ESPECIALLY INVOF THE KANSAS CITY AREA.  A LOCAL
   EXTENSION SWD OF 1-2 TIERS OF COUNTIES MAY NEED TO BE CONSIDERED
   JUST S OF KANSAS CITY.

   DISCUSSION...A FRONTAL SQUALL LINE IS MOVING SEWD ACROSS NW TOWARD W
   CENTRAL MO...WITH MORE BROKEN CONVECTION FARTHER NE IN NE MO AND W
   CENTRAL IL.  THE ORIENTATION AND ORGANIZATION OF THE STORMS SUGGESTS
   THAT THE TORNADO RISK HAS LARGELY DIMINISHED...BUT THE STRONGER
   STORMS WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
   HAIL.  STRONG BUOYANCY EXTENDS A TIER OR TWO OF COUNTIES S OF THE
   EXISTING WATCH LOCATION NEAR KANSAS CITY...AND A LOCAL EXTENSION OF
   THE WATCH SWD MAY NEED TO BE CONSIDERED BY 0330Z.  BY 05-06Z...THE
   STORMS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS THE STORMS PROCESS THE
   REMAINING STRONG BUOYANCY IN A NARROW CORRIDOR S OF THE FRONT/SQUALL
   LINE...WITH A DRIER AIR MASS NOTED FARTHER TO THE S INTO CENTRAL MO
   AND SW MO.  THUS...A NEW WATCH DOES NOT APPEAR NECESSARY BEYOND THE
   SCHEDULED 06Z EXPIRATION.

   ..THOMPSON.. 07/01/2014


   ATTN...WFO...LSX...EAX...TOP...

   LAT...LON   39049490 39569378 39979276 40129192 40179148 40159100
               39979084 39649086 39379158 38969283 38689386 38559452
               38599489 38789506 39049490 

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Page last modified: July 01, 2014
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