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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1240
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0511 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND NRN INDIANA/SRN LOWER MI/WRN AND
CENTRAL OH
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 478...
VALID 192211Z - 192345Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 478 CONTINUES.
ISOLATED SEVERE/SUPERCELL STORMS CONTINUE ACROSS NRN INDIANA...WITH
MORE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION FARTHER W INTO IL. STORMS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS NRN INDIANA AND SPREAD SLOWLY EWD INTO OH...WHILE ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION SPREADS ACROSS INDIANA -- AND EVENTUALLY OH -- FROM THE
WEST LATER THIS EVENING. WITH WW 478 SET TO EXPIRE AT 19/23Z...A
NEW WW WILL BE REQUIRED.
LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS A WELL-ORGANIZED/LONG-LIVED SUPERCELL STORM
OVER NERN WABASH/NRN HUNTINGTON/SRN WHITLEY COUNTIES...RIDING ESEWD
ALONG A PRE-EXISTING OUTFLOW. THIS STORM HAS GONE THOUGH A COUPLE
OF LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONE CYCLES...AND EXPECT THIS TO CONTINUE --
ALONG WITH AN ONGOING SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT. FARTHER NW...A
SECOND/WEAKER SUPERCELL HAS DEVELOPING ALONG THE REAR-FLANK OUTFLOW
FROM THE MAIN STORM.
WITH THE BACKGROUND ENVIRONMENT -- FEATURING MODERATE INSTABILITY
AND AMPLE VEERING/SHEAR WITH HEIGHT -- SUPPORTING A CONTINUATION OF
ISOLATED SUPERCELLS ACROSS INDIANA...A NEW WATCH WILL BE ISSUED TO
REPLACE WW 478. ADDITIONALLY...THIS WATCH WILL EXTEND EWD INTO WRN
AND CENTRAL OH...AS THE ESEWD PROGRESSION OF ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS
WILL LIKELY BE FOLLOWED LATER THIS EVENING BY A LARGE/WELL-ORGANIZED
MCS NOW ORGANIZING OVER NWRN IL...WHICH WILL LIKELY BE ACCOMPANIED
BY A WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND THREAT.
..GOSS.. 06/19/2009
ATTN...WFO...RLX...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...IND...LOT...
LAT...LON 41678723 42078666 41808426 41318284 39288258 38988360
39348712 41678723
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