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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1247
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0819 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SERN OH / CNTRL WV / NW AND S-CNTRL VA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 482...
VALID 200119Z - 200145Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 482
CONTINUES.
SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL LIKELY WANE THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO ACROSS PARTS
OF SERN OH EXTENDING SEWD INTO S-CNTRL VA IN CONJUNCTION WITH LOSS
OF DAYTIME HEATING.
AN ISOLD --ALBEIT LIMITED-- SEVERE THREAT HAS EFFECTIVELY BEEN
CONFINED S AND W OF DIFFUSE BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS THE UPPER OH
RIVER VALLEY TO THE ERN SHORE. EXISTING SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS
RATHER LOW ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF WW 482 AS LATE AFTERNOON SEVERE
CLUSTER OVER ERN OH HAS NOW DISSIPATED. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT STORM
AS OF 0115Z IS OVER S-CNTRL VA...WITH LOW LEVEL ROTATION EVIDENT PER
KAKQ RADAR IMAGERY. 00Z RNK RAOB DISPLAYED A WARM LAYER IN THE
H8-H75 LAYER...AND WITH VERY WEAK BACKGROUND SUPPORT FOR LARGE SCALE
ASCENT ATTENDANT TO WEAK UPPER VORT OVER THE UPPER OH RIVER
VALLEY...UPDRAFTS MAY STRUGGLE AMIDST A MODESTLY SHEARED PROFILE
BEFORE DISSIPATING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AN ISOLD LARGE
HAIL...PERHAPS DMGG WIND THREAT MAY REMAIN IN THE NEAR TERM WITH THE
STRONGER CORES.
..SMITH.. 06/20/2009
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...
LAT...LON 40008136 39158071 38658017 38007866 37777781 37297760
37007772 36687779 36647808 36927843 37657926 38238090
38538119 39218141 40058210 40238197 40008136
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