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Mesoscale Discussion 1247
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1247
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0613 PM CDT TUE JUL 01 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...NERN AR...EXTREME SERN MO...NWRN TN...SRN IL...SWRN
   IND AND WRN KY

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 383...

   VALID 012313Z - 020045Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 383
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL WILL
   PERSIST NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH GREATEST THREAT POSSIBLY ACROSS WRN KY
   THROUGH 00Z. ANY WW EAST OF WW 383 WILL DEPEND ON SHORT TERM
   CONVECTIVE TRENDS.

   DISCUSSION...STORMS HAVE CONSOLIDATED INTO A SOLID LINE THAT EXTENDS
   FROM SRN IND TO SRN IL...SERN MO AND NERN ARKANSAS. THE LINE IS
   MOVING ESEWD AT 25-30 KT AND IS APPROACHING WRN KY. WARM SECTOR
   REMAINS VERY UNSTABLE WITH 2500-3000 J/KG MLCAPE...BUT STORMS ARE
   EMBEDDED WITHING MODEST UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW LARGELY PARALLEL TO MOST
   OF THE LINE WHICH MAY BE A LIMITING FACTOR FOR MORE WIDESPREAD
   DAMAGING WIND. THE STORMS MOVING INTO WRN KY IMMEDIATELY SOUTH OF
   WEAK CIRCULATION OVER SRN IL IS ORIENTED AT A SLIGHTLY LARGER ANGLE
   TO THE DEEP LAYER WINDS WHICH MIGHT INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR
   BOWING SEGMENTS.

   ..DIAL.. 07/01/2014


   ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

   LAT...LON   36828974 38018702 36718718 36149097 36828974 

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