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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1257
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1009 PM CDT SAT JUN 20 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN KS
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 487...
VALID 210309Z - 210415Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 487 CONTINUES.
THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO MAY PERSIST FOR ANOTHER HOUR
OR SO ACROSS NERN KS. EXPECTED TREND IS FOR TORNADO THREAT TO
UNDERGO A GRADUAL DECREASE AFTER 04Z. WW 487 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE
AT 04Z...AND A NEW WW ISSUANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
CLUSTER OF SUPERCELL STORMS PERSISTS ACROSS NERN KS NORTH OF AN E-W
ORIENTED QUASISTATIONARY FRONT WHERE 0-1 KM SHEAR IS MAXIMIZED NEAR
THE INTERSECTION OF THE LOW LEVEL JET AND THE FRONT. STORMS WILL
CONTINUE NEWD NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS NERN KS AND EVENTUALLY INTO SERN
NEB WITHIN ZONE OF LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH NEWD MOVING MCV AND LOW
LEVEL JET. TORNADO THREAT WILL PERSIST FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO...BUT
A DECOUPLING AND STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER WILL LIKELY RESULT IN AN
OVERALL DECREASE IN INTENSITIES TOWARD LATE EVENING.
..DIAL.. 06/21/2009
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...
LAT...LON 39609696 39329630 38669633 38559689 38959723 39289764
39609696
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