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Mesoscale Discussion 1262
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1262
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0210 AM CDT WED JUL 01 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL MO

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 010710Z - 010815Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A SUPERCELL THREAT WILL PROBABLY YIELD A FEW INSTANCES OF
   LARGE HAIL OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.

   DISCUSSION...RADAR MOSAIC OVER THE PAST HOUR HAS SHOWN A COUPLE OF
   HAIL-PRODUCING SEVERE STORMS DEVELOP IN THE WARM ADVECTION ZONE
   AHEAD OF A SEWD-MOVING CLUSTER OF STORMS OVER W-CNTRL MO.  A 35 KT
   AND A 38 KT GUST HAVE BEEN OBSERVED AT KLXT AND KGLY IN THE PAST 40
   MINUTES WITH THE SEWD-MOVING STORM COMPLEX.  SUFFICIENT EFFECTIVE
   SHEAR AND ADEQUATE BUOYANCY FOR WEAK STORM ROTATION WILL LEND THE
   POSSIBILITY FOR ELEVATED SUPERCELLS AS THE TERMINUS OF A CNTRL
   PLAINS LLJ STRENGTHENS AND VEERS INTO W-CNTRL AND S-CNTRL MO
   TONIGHT.  GIVEN THE ISOLD EXPECTED COVERAGE OF THE LARGE-HAIL
   THREAT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS UNLIKELY.

   ..SMITH/EDWARDS.. 07/01/2015


   ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...

   LAT...LON   37719342 38679377 38609320 37849251 37719342 

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