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Mesoscale Discussion 1265
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1265
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0355 PM CDT THU JUL 03 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...PA...NJ...NY...CT...MA...VT...NH

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 391...

   VALID 032055Z - 032300Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 391
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS POSING A THREAT FOR DAMAGING
   WINDS...HAIL...AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO...WILL INCREASE
   ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 391 OVER THE
   NEXT 1-2 HOURS. MORE ISOLATED STORMS WITH SOME WIND AND HAIL
   POTENTIAL WILL ALSO CONTINUE OVER EASTERN AREAS OF THE
   WATCH...PRIMARILY OVER NORTHEAST MA AND WESTERN MAINE.

   DISCUSSION...AMPLE INSTABILITY WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT ROBUST
   THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT AND FRONTAL WAVE/LOW
   FROM THE MOHAWK VALLEY OF NY SOUTH INTO EASTERN PA AND NORTHERN NJ.
   OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...MOST SUPPORTIVE JUXTAPOSITION OF
   FORCING/SHEAR AND STRONGER INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO
   SEVERE STORMS SPREADING EAST ACROSS THE CATSKILLS OF NY TOWARD THE
   HUDSON VALLEY...AND FROM THE HUDSON/MOHAWK VALLEYS...EAST INTO
   PORTIONS OF WESTERN VT. MORE ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS APPEAR POSSIBLE
   ALONG A CORRIDOR OF STRONGER INSTABILITY FROM NORTHEAST PA AND
   NORTHERN NJ NORTHEASTWARD TO PARTS OF CT/MA.

   ..CARBIN/CORFIDI.. 07/03/2014


   ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...
   AKQ...

   LAT...LON   42887496 42987524 43407495 43717446 43947408 44697298
               45057261 45057145 45537056 46607008 46536972 45046966
               45056932 44376945 43926994 43027070 42537086 41977165
               41737222 40947305 40397330 40247344 40007363 39227415
               38627478 38447491 38447572 39717577 40557594 41327489
               41737472 42567464 42887496 

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Page last modified: July 03, 2014
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