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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1269
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0750 PM CDT SUN JUN 21 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN WASATCH / SWRN WY
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 489...
VALID 220050Z - 220145Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 489
CONTINUES.
REMAINING SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO ERN PORTIONS
OF WW 489 FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
COMPOSITE SURFACE/RADAR ANALYSIS SHOWS A 1002 MB LOW INVOF SLC WITH
AN EWD SWEEPING CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM ERN
PORTIONS OF THE GREAT SALT LAKE SWWD INTO CNTRL TOOELE COUNTY. THE
AIRMASS TO THE W OF THE BOUNDARY AND AS WELL AS MUCH OF SERN ID HAS
BEGUN TO STABILIZE DUE IN LARGE PART TO CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING.
FARTHER S IN SRN PARTS OF WW...BOUNDARY LAYER HAS BECOME MORE DEEPLY
MIXED WITH TEMPS RISING INTO THE LOWER 80S WITH DEWPOINTS FALLING
INTO THE MID 40S /PER RECENT PROVO OBSERVATION/. THEREFORE THE
LEAST DISTURBED THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT IS LIKELY LOCATED OVER THE
NRN WASATCH EXTENDING NEWD INTO SWRN WY.
00Z SLC RAOB EXHIBITED VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES AMIDST A VEERING LOW
LEVEL PROFILE WITH MORE THAN ADEQUATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR / 40 KTS 0-6
KM SHEAR/ FOR STORM ORGANIZATION. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE
POTENTIAL FOR STORMS TO AQUIRE BRIEF ROTATION AT TIMES...WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS BEING CAPABLE OF MAINLY ISOLD LARGE HAIL/DMGG WIND
BEFORE STABILIZING PROCESSES /I.E. ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING
AND DIURNAL COOLING/ COMMENCE AND BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD.
..SMITH.. 06/22/2009
ATTN...WFO...RIW...SLC...PIH...
LAT...LON 40961175 41321183 42661163 43341096 43291026 43050972
42640948 40881016 40661080 40631128 40961175
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