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Mesoscale Discussion 1278
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1278
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1159 AM CDT THU JUL 02 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE MID-SOUTH

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 021659Z - 021900Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...DEVELOPING SCATTERED TSTMS MAY EVOLVE INTO A FEW MULTICELL
   CLUSTERS WITH ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.
   UNCERTAINTY DOES EXIST ON IF/WHERE A MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT
   SHOULD DEVELOP.

   DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS HAVE BLOSSOMED
   AROUND THE CONFLUENCE OF THE MS/OH RIVERS. DOWNSTREAM DIABATIC
   HEATING IS LIKELY TO BE MOST PRONOUNCED ACROSS PORTIONS OF WRN/CNTRL
   KY INTO FAR NRN MIDDLE TN AND THIS DESTABILIZATION SHOULD SUPPORT
   TSTM INTENSIFICATION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LVX/VWX VWP DATA SAMPLED
   ONLY AROUND 20-25 KT 0-6 KM SHEAR...BUT THIS MAY SUPPORT A FEW
   LOOSELY-ORGANIZED CLUSTERS WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS CAPABLE OF
   ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS.

   ..GRAMS/HART.. 07/02/2015


   ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

   LAT...LON   37848834 37948767 37818586 37628550 37178527 36398539
               36148622 35858780 35488922 35608998 36089040 36969002
               37468931 37848834 

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Page last modified: July 02, 2015
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