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Mesoscale Discussion 1279
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1279
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1218 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...NRN GA...NERN AL...WRN SC

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 021718Z - 021915Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A W/E-ORIENTED BAND OF TSTMS OVER NERN AL INTO NRN GA MAY
   FURTHER INTENSIFY WITH A DAMAGING WIND RISK THAT COULD NECESSITATE A
   WW ISSUANCE PRIOR TO 19Z.

   DISCUSSION...WRN PORTION OF A W/E-ORIENTED TSTM BAND HAS RECENTLY
   INTENSIFIED WITH A SWATH OF 40+ KT OUTBOUND VELOCITIES PER HTX RADAR
   IN DADE/WALKER COUNTY GA. MODERATE DOWNSTREAM HEATING OF AN AIR MASS
   CHARACTERIZED BY 1.50-1.75 INCH PW VALUES SHOULD YIELD ADDITIONAL
   TSTM DEVELOPMENT TO THE E/SE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH
   DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IS MODEST GIVEN WINDS WEAKENING WITH HEIGHT FROM
   THE MID TO UPPER-LEVELS...AROUND 40-KT 2-5 KM AGL WLYS MAY CONTINUE
   TO SUPPORT EMBEDDED STRONG SURFACE WINDS WITHIN LOOSELY-ORGANIZED
   MULTICELL CLUSTERS...PRODUCING MAINLY TREE DAMAGE.

   ..GRAMS/HART.. 07/02/2015


   ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...FFC...BMX...HUN...

   LAT...LON   34918600 34888428 34998312 35068238 35038174 34818140
               34498135 33868162 33588211 33478278 33468417 33658511
               33988609 34608624 34918600 

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Page last modified: July 02, 2015
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