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Mesoscale Discussion 1282
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1282
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0130 AM CDT SUN JUL 06 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...ECNTRL AND NERN MN

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 060630Z - 060730Z

   CORRECTED FOR MESO-GRAPHIC

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...STORMS OVER NWRN MN MAY DEVELOP INTO ECNTRL MN POSING A
   THREAT FOR LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL. TRENDS ARE BEING
   MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW SOUTHEAST OF WW 394.

   DISCUSSION...CLUSTER OF STORMS OVER NWRN MN IS MOVING SEWD AT AROUND
   35-40 KT. RECENT TRENDS HAVE SHOWN A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZATION WITH
   WHAT APPEARS TO BE A MESO-VORTEX NOW OVER HUBBARD COUNTY WITH
   TRAILING BOWING SEGMENT. SOME UNCERTAINTY EXISTS WITH REGARD TO
   EXTENT OF THE DOWNSTREAM SEVERE THREAT DUE TO CAPPING CONCERNS.
   HOWEVER...THE MOIST/INSTABILITY AXIS IS ADVECTING EWD WITH
   TIME...AND STORMS APPEAR TO BE IN THE PROCESS OF BECOMING A FORWARD
   PROPAGATING SYSTEM. SEVERAL RECENT GUSTS TO SEVERE LEVELS HAVE ALSO
   BEEN REPORTED.

   ..DIAL/MEAD.. 07/06/2014


   ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...

   LAT...LON   46349488 47029423 46819297 46159323 45609440 45489538
               45869556 46349488 

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Page last modified: July 06, 2014
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