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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1282
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0349 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...FL PENINSULA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 230849Z - 230945Z
AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. AN
INCREASING SEVERE RISK MAY PROMPT A SEVERE TSTM WATCH ISSUANCE.
A SMALL LINEAR/BOWING CLUSTER CONTINUES TO STEADILY PROGRESS
SOUTHWARD AT AROUND 30-35 KT ACROSS THE CENTRAL FL PENINSULA...JUST
WEST OF THE ORLANDO AREA AS OF 0840Z. A 41 KT GUST WAS RECENTLY
MEASURED IN LEESBURG AS OF 0809Z. THE UPSWING OF THIS STORM...AND
OTHER INCIPIENT PERIPHERAL DEVELOPMENT...APPEARS TO BE TIED TO A
MODESTLY AMPLIFYING BELT OF CYCLONIC NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.
REGIONAL WSR-88D VWPS SAMPLE 35 KT OF MEAN/LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL
LOW TO MID TROPOSPHERIC FLOW...WHICH WOULD SUPPORT RELATIVELY FAST
SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD MOVING CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF ISOLATED DAMAGING
WINDS GUSTS AMIDST A MOIST/MODERATELY UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS
THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA /ESPECIALLY ALONG AND WEST OF
EARLIER OUTFLOW ACROSS THE EASTERN PENINSULA/.
..GUYER.. 06/23/2009
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...
LAT...LON 28398243 28558099 26088016 25228091 28398243
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