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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1290
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0321 PM CDT TUE JUN 23 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NEB..SRN IA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 232021Z - 232115Z
STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG OUTFLOW BNDRY TO THE NORTH OF OMA...AND
ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY FORM ALONG THE BNDRY FROM CENTRAL IA WSWWD
INTO ERN NEB. GIVEN EXTREME INSTABILITY OF ENVIRONMENT...A NEW WW
WILL BE ISSUED OVER THE AREA.
LINEAR CONVECTIVE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE EWD ACROSS CENTRAL
IA...WITH NEW STORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE SRN END OF THE LINE NEAR
THE SRN EDGE OF WW 498. IN ADDITION...SEVERAL NEW STORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED WWD ALONG THE OUTFLOW BNDRY EXTENDING INTO EXTREME ERN NEB
AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WWD ALONG THE BNDRY IS POSSIBLE.
WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S AND DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER
70S/NEAR 80...EXTREMELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT IS PRESENT AS INDICATED
BY 18Z OAX SOUNDING WITH MLCAPE TO 3800 J/KG. LIMITING PARAMETER
FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE THREAT IS RELATIVELY WEAK FLOW ALOFT AND
WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR OVER SRN IA AND SERN NEB. HOWEVER...MAGNITUDE
OF INSTABILITY INDICATES POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
DOWNBURST WINDS. NEW WW WILL BE ISSUED SOON ACROSS THE DISCUSSION
AREA.
..WEISS.. 06/23/2009
ATTN...WFO...DVN...DMX...EAX...OAX...GID...
LAT...LON 41389826 41579690 41889589 41919455 41869293 41899232
42359199 42539159 42509098 41969068 41219101 40879128
40819243 40699484 40359742 40509843 41389826
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