Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 1302
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 1302 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1302
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0541 PM CDT MON JUL 07 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...CT...WRN MA...SRN VT...SWRN NH

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 072241Z - 072345Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS MAY ACCOMPANY STORMS
   PROGRESSING E OUT OF ERN NY AND INTO PARTS OF SRN NEW ENGLAND. THIS
   THREAT SHOULD REMAIN CONFINED AND MARGINAL...SUCH THAT A NEW WW IS
   NOT ANTICIPATED.

   DISCUSSION...A COUPLE SMALL LINE SEGMENTS ARE PROGRESSING ACROSS
   NY...WITH ONE LOCATED OVER THE ALBANY AREA AS OF 2230Z. BASE
   VELOCITY DATA SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS ASSOCIATED
   WITH THIS LINE...CONSISTENT WITH REPORTS RECEIVED OF DOWNED TREES
   OVER ERN NY. THE ENVIRONMENT DOWNSHEAR FROM ONGOING CONVECTION HAS
   BEEN PARTIALLY MODIFIED FROM EARLIER CONVECTION...BUT STILL REMAINS
   WEAKLY UNSTABLE OWING TO A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER CHARACTERIZED BY
   NEAR 70 F SFC DEWPOINTS. THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR MAINTAINING
   CONVECTIVE INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. STRONG WIND GUST
   THREAT MAY CONTINUE INTO PARTS OF SRN VT...WRN MA...SWRN NH...AND
   CT...GIVEN 30 KT OF AMBIENT LOW-LEVEL FLOW SAMPLED IN REGIONAL VWP
   DATA...AND CURRENT STORM MOTIONS OF 30-40 KT. HOWEVER...CURRENT
   INTENSITY TRENDS SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR SVR WIND GUSTS IS
   MARGINAL...AND THE LIMITED SPATIAL EXTENT OF THE WIND THREAT WILL
   LIKELY PRECLUDE A NEW WW.

   ..ROGERS/HART.. 07/07/2014


   ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...

   LAT...LON   43097167 42327201 41467227 41307261 41227334 41997330
               42667327 43127316 43447301 43537264 43427187 43097167 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: July 07, 2014
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities