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Mesoscale Discussion 1324
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1324
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0855 PM CDT TUE JUL 08 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...NH...ERN MA/CT...RI...ERN LONG ISLAND

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 090155Z - 090330Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A MARGINAL WIND THREAT MAY EXTEND JUST EAST OF WATCH
   405...BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED AS STORMS CONTINUE
   EASTWARD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND. A NEW WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED
   DOWNSTREAM...BUT TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.

   DISCUSSION...MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS MAY CONTINUE A COUNTY OR
   TWO EAST OF WATCH 405...BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND HAS BEEN NOTED
   ON RADAR OVER THE LAST 30 MINUTES OR SO. WHILE SOME STRONGER CELLS
   REMAIN EMBEDDED IN BOWING SEGMENTS...RECENT 7 AND 9 KM CAPPI
   INDICATED A DOWNWARD TREND IN STORM INTENSITY OVER THE LAST 30
   MINUTES. FURTHER WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS STORMS CONTINUE EASTWARD
   INTO DECREASING INSTABILITY DUE TO LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...AND AS
   COOLER MARINE LAYER BEGINS TO MOVE FURTHER INLAND. A DOWNSTREAM
   WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...BUT TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED
   AND REEVALUATED AS STORMS NEAR THE EDGE OF WATCH 405.

   ..LEITMAN/HART.. 07/09/2014


   ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...

   LAT...LON   45517157 45197108 43297056 42177079 41227154 40547278
               40487306 40627347 40917353 41687344 44747241 45327206
               45517157 

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Page last modified: July 09, 2014
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