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Mesoscale Discussion 1331
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1331
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0515 PM CDT WED JUL 09 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND SRN NEB...NRN AND NWRN KS

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 092215Z - 092315Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SSEWD ACROSS MUCH OF CNTRL
   NEB AND INTO NRN KS LATER THIS EVENING. OTHER STORMS DEVELOPING OVER
   WY/CO MIGHT EVENTUALLY MERGE WITH THIS ACTIVITY AS WELL.

   DISCUSSION...A FEW SEVERE HAIL STORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS NRN/CNTRL
   NEB ALONG AN OUTFLOW-REINFORCED BOUNDARY. TO THE S AND W OF THE
   ONGOING ACTIVITY...SATELLITE SHOWS A CU FIELD WITH STRONG HEATING.
   ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY FORM TO THE W AND
   S...AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR VECTOR ORIENTATION WOULD INDICATE A SSEWD
   MOTION. STEEP LAPSE RATES AND VEERING WIND PROFILES WITH HEIGHT
   SHOULD CONTINUE TO FAVOR A FEW MARGINAL SUPERCELLS WITH A HAIL
   THREAT...AND DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL IF ACTIVITY CAN FORWARD
   PROPAGATE INTO THE LOW-LEVEL JET THIS EVENING. 

   OTHER ACTIVITY TO THE W ALONG THE FRONT RANGE WILL EVENTUALLY
   ENCOUNTER MORE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY...AND MAY POSE A WIND/HAIL
   THREAT AS WELL..MERGING OVER WRN KS TONIGHT.

   ..JEWELL/CORFIDI.. 07/09/2014


   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...BOU...CYS...

   LAT...LON   38689922 38710082 38840231 39440325 40060332 40970339
               41360294 41430216 41510099 41180022 40819926 40479877
               39839765 39269749 38829793 38689922 

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Page last modified: July 09, 2014
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