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Mesoscale Discussion 1331
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1331
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0719 PM CDT WED JUL 08 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CNTRL NC

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 090019Z - 090145Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...THE POTENTIAL FOR A DAMAGING WIND GUST OR TWO MAY CONTINUE
   FOR A FEW MORE HOURS THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...WW ISSUANCE IS NOT
   EXPECTED.

   DISCUSSION...STRONG/MARGINALLY SEVERE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER
   PORTIONS OF CNTRL NC THIS EVENING...AND EWD-PROGRESSING OUTFLOW
   BOUNDARIES MAY YIELD NEW DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WHILE
   A WEAK KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT OFFERS LITTLE POTENTIAL FOR NOTABLE
   UPDRAFT ORGANIZATION...HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT /E.G. PWATS APPROACHING
   2 IN/ AND THE REMNANTS OF A WELL-MIXED BL FROM PRIOR INSOLATION WILL
   FAVOR THE POSSIBILITY FOR A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS IN THE DEEPEST
   CONVECTION THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE AFOREMENTIONED WEAK
   WIND PROFILE...MODEST BL COOLING...AND LACK OF ANY SIGNIFICANT
   FORCING FOR ASCENT...THE SPATIOTEMPORAL THREAT SHOULD REMAIN QUITE
   LIMITED. AS SUCH...WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

   ..PICCA/EDWARDS.. 07/09/2015


   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...

   LAT...LON   34937967 35227979 35977962 36417926 36537866 36567814
               36417773 35447782 34827833 34717897 34797963 34937967 

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Page last modified: July 09, 2015
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