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Mesoscale Discussion 1334
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1334
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1127 PM CDT WED JUL 09 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF CNTRL AND WRN KS

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 100427Z - 100600Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
   SEVERAL HOURS. A WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED IF STORMS CAN PERSIST.

   DISCUSSION...A RASH OF ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO DEVELOP
   OVER CNTRL KS WHERE A STRONG SLY LOW-LEVEL JET IS RESULTING IN LIFT
   AND MOISTURE ADVECTION NWD BENEATH COOLER TEMPERATURES ALOFT PER
   AREA SOUNDINGS. THE AIR MASS UPSTREAM ALSO CONTAINS GREATER
   PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WITH INSTABILITY EVEN WHEN LIFTING PARCELS
   FROM 700 MB.

   DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS FAVORABLE FOR A FEW SUSTAINED CELLS CAPABLE OF
   LARGE HAIL. HOWEVER...ONCE THE INITIAL THETA-E SURGE PASSES
   THROUGH...ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL BE UNLIKELY. STILL...A FEW
   CELLS COULD REMAIN WITH AT LEAST AN ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL THREAT
   TONIGHT.

   ..JEWELL/CORFIDI.. 07/10/2014


   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

   LAT...LON   37379931 38819999 39439928 39429825 39039769 38689744
               37949692 37449701 37149759 37039845 37099902 37379931 

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Page last modified: July 10, 2014
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