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Mesoscale Discussion 1341
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1341
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0604 PM CDT THU JUL 10 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN SD INTO CNTRL NEB AND FAR NERN CO

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 102304Z - 110100Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATER THIS EVENING ACROSS
   S CNTRL SD INTO CNTRL NEB WITH A WIND AND HAIL THREAT.

   DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS OF STORMS CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY SHIFT EWD
   ACROSS WRN NEB WITHIN A WEAK LEE TROUGH. SATELLITE SHOWS TOWERING CU
   EXTENDING NEWD FROM THIS ACTIVITY INTO SRN SD AS WELL. 

   STRONG HEATING IN THIS ZONE HAS ERODED CIN AND IS ALSO IN A ZONE OF
   LOW-LEVEL SPEED CONVERGENCE. STORMS ARE THUS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
   FORM AND EVOLVE INTO THIS AREA...WHERE VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT AND
   AMPLE INSTABILITY WILL FAVOR A FEW SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL.
   ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALSO OCCUR. 

   IF IT BECOMES APPARENT THAT SEVERE COVERAGE WILL BE MORE THAN
   ISOLATED...A WATCH MAY BE NEEDED.

   ..JEWELL/CORFIDI.. 07/10/2014


   ATTN...WFO...FSD...ABR...LBF...UNR...GLD...BOU...CYS...

   LAT...LON   42669933 42049984 41150078 40390272 40600309 40910303
               41330277 41640265 42380222 43070172 43830106 44190037
               44219955 43759911 42669933 

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Page last modified: July 11, 2014
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