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Mesoscale Discussion 1342
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1342
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1155 PM CDT THU JUL 10 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN MT

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 110455Z - 110700Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER
   THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

   DISCUSSION...NELY WINDS IN A POST-FRONTAL REGIME HAVE BROUGHT 50S
   DEWPOINTS WWD TOWARD THE HIGHER TERRAIN WHERE UPSLOPE FLOW IS BEING
   ENHANCED. ALTHOUGH THE UPPER TROUGH IS DEPARTING...COOL TEMPERATURES
   ALOFT REMAIN WHICH IS PROVING FAVORABLE FOR HAIL GIVEN THE STRONG
   DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND CELLULAR STORM MODE.

   WITH TIME...DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL STABILIZE THE AREA...BUT A
   COUPLE HOURS OF HAIL NEAR SEVERE LIMITS WILL BE POSSIBLE. GIVEN THE
   ISOLATED NATURE OF THE THREAT...A WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED.

   ..JEWELL/CORFIDI.. 07/11/2014


   ATTN...WFO...TFX...MSO...

   LAT...LON   48491066 47761213 47981290 48811406 49121364 49341172
               49161077 48911052 48491066 

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Page last modified: July 11, 2014
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