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Mesoscale Discussion 1345
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1345
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0458 PM CDT THU JUL 09 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN KY...SWRN VA

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 092158Z - 100000Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A FOCUSED SWATH OF TREE DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE THROUGH ABOUT
   02Z WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS ACCOMPANYING AN EWD-MOVING CLUSTER FROM
   S-CNTRL KY.

   DISCUSSION...A SMALL TSTM CLUSTER CENTERED OVER PULASKI COUNTY KY
   APPEARS LIKELY TO EVOLVE EWD ALONG THE TRAILING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
   FROM A NOW DECAYED CLUSTER THAT HAS REMNANTS ACROSS SRN WV. S OF
   THIS OUTFLOW...SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 80S TO LOWER 90S
   WILL SUPPORT DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSPORT OF AROUND 40-KT 3-KM AGL
   WLYS SAMPLED IN JKL/LVX VWP DATA. GIVEN A RECENT MEASURED GUST AT
   KSME OF 32 KT WITHIN THIS CLUSTER...STRONG WIND GUSTS SHOULD PERSIST
   OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS WHICH MAY RESULT IN A SWATH OF TREE DAMAGE.

   ..GRAMS/EDWARDS.. 07/09/2015


   ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL...LMK...

   LAT...LON   37328470 37548445 37598321 37528205 37448158 37338123
               37128110 36848133 36788175 36788278 36768359 36828446
               36848470 36978484 37328470 

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Page last modified: July 10, 2015
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