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Mesoscale Discussion 1346
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1346
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0514 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...N-CNTRL/NE KS...FAR SE NEB/NW MO

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 122214Z - 130015Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE WIND AND MARGINAL HAIL MAY OCCUR AS
   SCATTERED STORMS FORM THIS EVENING ALONG A SLOWLY SWD-SINKING COLD
   FRONT.

   DISCUSSION...SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S ARE PREVALENT ALONG AND
   S OF THE COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM NEAR SDA TO 20 S HLC BEFORE
   BECOMING DIFFUSE OVER W-CNTRL KS AS OF 22Z. CONVERGENCE ALONG THIS
   FRONT SHOULD AID IN SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE EVENING.
   MID-LEVEL WLYS WILL BE SUBSTANTIALLY WEAKER WITH SRN EXTENT...WITH
   THE FRINGE OF 500 MB WINDS AOA 30 KT REMAINING CONFINED FROM THE
   KS/NEB BORDER REGION NWD. THIS SHOULD YIELD MAINLY PULSE-TYPE
   UPDRAFTS OVER MOST OF KS...WITH PERHAPS A MULTICELL CLUSTER NEAR THE
   KS/NEB BORDER CAPABLE OF ISOLATED SEVERE WIND AND HAIL. THIS
   CORRIDOR HAS A RELATIVELY HIGHER PROBABILITY FOR SEVERE TSTM WATCH
   ISSUANCE THIS EVENING.

   ..GRAMS/CORFIDI.. 07/12/2014


   ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

   LAT...LON   40689633 40729571 40609527 40459500 40089491 39659527
               39399579 38869784 38360003 38400039 38760033 39529989
               40139841 40689633 

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Page last modified: July 13, 2014
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