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Mesoscale Discussion 1348
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1348
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0552 PM CDT SAT JUL 12 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AZ

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 122252Z - 130015Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ONGOING TSTM ACTIVITY E OF PHOENIX WILL CONTINUE SWWD
   WHILE POSING SOME THREAT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS. LOCALIZED NATURE OF
   THE THREAT WILL PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW.

   DISCUSSION...TSTM ACTIVITY E OF PHOENIX HAS RECENTLY SHOWN AN
   INCREASE IN FORWARD-PROPAGATION AS IT ENTERS THE HOT AND DRY
   BOUNDARY LAYER IN PLACE ACROSS CNTRL AZ. IWA VAD REVEALS DECENT NELY
   FLOW WITH 30 KT NOTED BETWEEN 4 AND 6 KFT. AS A RESULT...STORMS ARE
   EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THEIR SWLY MOTION INTO THIS HOT AND DRY AIRMASS
   WITH A RESULTANT RISK FOR A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS BEFORE THE STORMS
   DISSIPATE.

   ..MOSIER/CORFIDI.. 07/12/2014


   ATTN...WFO...TWC...FGZ...PSR...

   LAT...LON   34431178 34351107 34011056 33791034 33381019 32971024
               32391051 31791138 31711203 32021243 33371244 34161219
               34431178 

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Page last modified: July 13, 2014
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