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Mesoscale Discussion 1353
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1353
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1110 PM CDT THU JUL 09 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...TX/OK PANHANDLES

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 399...

   VALID 100410Z - 100515Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 399
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...OVERALL SEVERE RISK APPEARS TO BE MINIMAL WITH ONLY SMALL
   HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED INTO THE OVERNIGHT WITH TSTM CLUSTERS
   MOVING E AROUND 10-20 KT.

   DISCUSSION...5 AND 9-KM CAPPI REFLECTIVITY VALUES HAVE WANED OVER
   THE PAST HOUR WITH INCREASINGLY RELAXED GRADIENTS IN BASE
   REFLECTIVITY AS WELL. GIVEN PROGRESSIVELY MORE MARGINAL BUOYANCY
   WITH ERN EXTENT PER 00Z OUN/FWD RAOBS AND NOCTURNAL BOUNDARY-LAYER
   STABILIZATION...THERE APPEARS TO BE LITTLE REASON FOR AN ORGANIZED
   RISK TO REDEVELOP. PARTS/MUCH OF THE WW MAY BE CANCELLED PRIOR TO
   06Z EXPIRATION.

   ..GRAMS.. 07/10/2015


   ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...

   LAT...LON   36730139 36830099 36780061 36320036 35890034 35420035
               34280050 33520089 33100142 32910230 33280278 34120255
               35120197 35930167 36730139 

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Page last modified: July 10, 2015
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