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Mesoscale Discussion 1358
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1358
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0313 PM CDT FRI JUL 10 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN VA AND FAR NORTHERN NC

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 102013Z - 102215Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD
   ACROSS THE REGION WITH ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS A POSSIBILITY THROUGH
   LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF VA INTO FAR
   NORTHERN NC. A WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.

   DISCUSSION...AT LEAST ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
   CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH-CENTRAL VA INTO FAR
   NORTH-CENTRAL/NORTHEAST NC THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
   EVENING...WITH RECENT STORM INTENSIFICATION PARTICULARLY NOTED
   NEAR/NORTHWEST OF THE LYNCHBURG VA VICINITY AS OF 20Z/4PM EDT. A
   FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS GENERALLY NORTHWEST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
   THE REGION...AND THE AIR MASS NEAR/SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY HAS BECOME
   MODERATELY UNSTABLE. A MODEST BELT OF WEST-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
   WILL SUPPORT SUSTAINED STORMS INCLUDING MULTICELLS/LINE
   SEGMENTS...WITH LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE A POSSIBILITY WITH THE
   STRONGEST UPDRAFTS/DOWNDRAFTS.

   ..GUYER/HART.. 07/10/2015


   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...

   LAT...LON   37927921 37917785 37347656 36357624 35987770 37237951
               37927921 

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Page last modified: July 10, 2015
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