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Mesoscale Discussion 1360
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1360
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0518 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/UPPER OH VALLEY AND CNTRL APPALACHIANS

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 413...

   VALID 132218Z - 132345Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 413
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS HAS BECOME MARGINAL/LOCALIZED
   WITHIN/NEAR REMAINING PORTION OF WW 413. WITH OVERALL INTENSITY NOT
   EXPECTED TO APPRECIABLY INCREASE THIS EVENING...ADDITIONAL WW
   ISSUANCE BEYOND 00Z SCHEDULED EXPIRATION DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY.

   DISCUSSION...BROKEN CLUSTERS OF TSTMS FROM S IND/OH TO N WV LARGELY
   APPEAR MODERATE TO STRONG IN INTENSITY. GENERAL ORIENTATION OF THE
   CLUSTERS HAS ALIGNED INTO BROKEN W/E BANDS...PARALLELING THE
   DEEP-LAYER WLY FLOW. 3 KM AGL WINDS HAVE WEAKENED IN THE PAST FEW
   HOURS IN ILN VWP DATA...AND ARE NOT PROGGED TO INCREASE THIS
   EVENING. ALTHOUGH A DOWNBURST OR TWO COULD OCCUR...OVERALL
   MODE/ORIENTATION/SHEAR DO NOT APPEAR SUPPORTIVE OF A STRENGTHENING
   COLD POOL TO WARRANT ADDITIONAL WW ISSUANCE.

   ..GRAMS.. 07/13/2014


   ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...IND...

   LAT...LON   40687935 39237968 38728000 38518054 38258255 37878449
               38038525 38318627 38638637 39178616 39508489 39868368
               40208184 40797998 40687935 

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Page last modified: July 13, 2014
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