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Mesoscale Discussion 1362
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1362
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0732 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL ORE...FAR S-CNTRL WA

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 140032Z - 140230Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...SCATTERED TSTMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
   AND HAIL WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. ISOLATED NATURE
   OF THE SVR THREAT WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW BUT TRENDS
   WILL BE MONITORED.

   DISCUSSION...COMPACT UPPER LOW JUST OFF THE OREGON COAST IS EXPECTED
   TO CONTINUE NEWD...PROVIDING LIFT FOR SCATTERED TSTMS OVER CNTRL
   OREGON NWD INTO FAR S-CNTRL WA. 00Z MFR SOUNDING SAMPLED 0-6 KM BULK
   SHEAR OF 43 KT WITH SOME MODEST STRENGTHENING STILL POSSIBLE. TSTM
   ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO INITIATE ALONG THE CASCADES WHERE
   HAIL APPEARS TO BE THE PRIMARY THREAT. AS THE STORMS MOVE EWD...THE
   BOUNDARY LAYER BECOMES CONSIDERABLY MORE MIXED /TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT
   SPREADS AROUND 40-50 DEG F/ WITH A RESULTANT THREAT OF DAMAGING
   DOWNBURSTS...PARTICULARLY AS STORMS COLLAPSE. 

   OVERALL SVR THREAT WILL LIKELY BE TEMPERED BY LIMITED INSTABILITY
   RESULTANT FROM ONLY MODEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE. AS A RESULT...SVR
   THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED AND A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
   HOWEVER...TRENDS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE MONITORED.

   ..MOSIER/CORFIDI.. 07/14/2014


   ATTN...WFO...BOI...PDT...PQR...

   LAT...LON   45932245 46342165 46382025 45801886 44401836 43831877
               43622034 43802209 45162267 45932245 

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Page last modified: July 14, 2014
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