Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 1364
< Previous MD
MD 1364 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1364
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1004 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...SE MO...FAR S IL/W KY

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 140304Z - 140430Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY A CLUSTER OF STORMS
   DEVELOPING E FROM S-CNTRL MO. MORE SUBSTANTIAL COLD POOL STRENGTH
   WILL LIKELY BE NECESSARY FOR A WW ISSUANCE OVERNIGHT.

   DISCUSSION...BROKEN AREAS OF CONVECTION THAT HAVE LONG PERSISTED
   ALONG A COMPOSITE WEAK FRONT/CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW HAVE INTENSIFIED
   SOMEWHAT IN THE PAST HALF HOUR ALONG THE INFLECTION POINT OF THE
   BOUNDARY ACROSS PULASKI/LACLEDE COUNTY MO. THIS ORIENTATION IS MORE
   PERPENDICULAR TO THE DEEP-LAYER MEAN WLYS...WITH 2-6 KM AGL VALUES
   AROUND 30 KT PER LSX/SGF VWP DATA. THIS STRENGTH OF FLOW SHOULD BE
   SUFFICIENT FOR MULTICELL STRUCTURES AMIDST A 1.75-2 IN PW PLUME
   CHARACTERIZED BY LOWER/MIDDLE 70S SURFACE DEW POINTS. THESE WILL BE
   CAPABLE OF STRONG TO PERHAPS MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS. ALTHOUGH
   THE OVERALL RISK SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED...IT/S POSSIBLE THAT A
   STRENGTHENING COLD POOL COULD YIELD A GREATER THAN ANTICIPATED
   THREAT TOWARDS THE MS/OH RIVER CONFLUENCE OVERNIGHT.

   ..GRAMS/CORFIDI.. 07/14/2014


   ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...MEG...LSX...SGF...

   LAT...LON   37959174 37859083 37748911 37808786 37828705 37408704
               36818756 36568873 36428958 36429098 36729208 37099253
               37289261 37959174 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: July 14, 2014
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities