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Mesoscale Discussion 1367
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1367
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0351 PM CDT SAT JUL 11 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN NC

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 401...

   VALID 112051Z - 112215Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 401
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE INTO THE
   EARLY EVENING ACROSS MAINLY FAR EASTERN NC TO THE OUTER BANKS. 
   MEANWHILE...COUNTIES IN THE WAKE OF A FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING SEWD
   THROUGH NERN NC CAN BE REMOVED FROM WW 401 WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS
   WIND SHIFT AS THE POST-FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT UNDERGOES STABILIZATION.

   DISCUSSION...STRONGEST STORMS THROUGH 23Z ARE EXPECTED TO BE
   CONFINED TO FAR EASTERN NC /ACROSS MAINLY THE SOUTHERN HALF OF WW
   401/.  THIS AREA IS LOCATED SOUTH OF A COLD FRONT WHICH CURRENTLY
   EXTENDED FROM FAR NERN NC INTO THE VICINITY OF PITT COUNTY AND THEN
   ARCING WNWWD TO CHATHAM COUNTY NC.  FORCING FOR ASCENT WITH A
   COMPACT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE A MODERATELY
   UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT FOR ADDITIONAL STRONG
   TO SEVERE STORMS...WITH THE WRN EXTENT OF STORMS REACHING THE
   COASTAL AREAS OF DARE TO PAMLICO COUNTIES BY 23Z.  MEANWHILE...AIR
   MASS STABILIZATION/CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT
   WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WITH THE PASSAGE
   OF THIS BOUNDARY.

   ..PETERS.. 07/11/2015


   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...

   LAT...LON   34377623 34617707 35547762 36077721 36357643 36417552
               35767511 34927513 34717550 34377623 

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Page last modified: July 11, 2015
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