MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1369
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0327 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2009
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SERN CO
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 282027Z - 282130Z
   
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER MAINLY THE HIGHER TERRAIN... BUT MAY
   GRADUALLY MOVE/DEVELOP EWD TO THE PALMER DIVIDE/LIC SWD TO THE PUB
   AREA. A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED...UNLESS STORM COVERAGE IS GREATER
   EAST OF THE FOOTHILLS THAT CURRENTLY FORECAST.
   
   TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED WELL INTO THE 80S AND WHEN COMBINED WITH
   UPPER 40 TO LOWER 50 DEWPOINTS...MLCAPES HAVE CLIMBED TO NEAR 1500
   J/KG. THE PROFILER IN NERN CO SHOWS WINDS ARE RELATIVELY WEAK IN THE
   LOWER 6 KM...THOUGH WLY WINDS INCREASE TO NEAR 50 KT AT ABOUT 8 KM.
   GIVEN THE SELY BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS...THIS IS RESULTING IN AROUND 30
   KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR AND AOA 40 KT IN THE 0-8 KM LAYER. EVEN THOUGH
   MOST STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN...SURFACE
   OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST A PUB CYCLONE HAS DEVELOPED AND THIS MAY
   ENHANCE STORM DEVELOPMENT WEST AND NORTH OF THE COS/PUB AREA.
   CURRENTLY...THE STORM/SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ISOLATED.
   HOWEVER...IF STORM COVERAGE IN THE PLAINS IS GREATER THAN
   ANTICIPATED...A WW ISSUANCE IS POSSIBLE AS WELL AS AN UPDATE TO THE
   OUTLOOK.
   
   ..IMY.. 06/28/2009
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...
   
   LAT...LON   37180527 37400540 39540566 39870454 39790317 38850314
               37390478 37180527